Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 56.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for FC Minsk had a probability of 20.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a FC Minsk win it was 1-0 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
