Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.