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Thursday, March 28
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Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 10
May 20, 2020 at 5pm UK
Regional Sport Complex Brestskiy

Dinamo Brest
1 - 3
BATE

Milevskiy (40')
Kislyak (4'), Noyok (36'), Pavlovets (47'), Savitskiy (54'), Laptev (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dragun (31'), Nekhajchik (73'), Milic (80')
Filipenko (38'), Skavysh (55')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Dinamo Brest had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Dinamo Brest win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.

Result
Dinamo BrestDrawBATE Borisov
34.74%26.29%38.97%
Both teams to score 53.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.45%51.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.65%73.35%
Dinamo Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65%28.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92%64.08%
BATE Borisov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.11%25.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.12%60.88%
Score Analysis
    Dinamo Brest 34.74%
    BATE Borisov 38.97%
    Draw 26.29%
Dinamo BrestDrawBATE Borisov
1-0 @ 9.25%
2-1 @ 7.88%
2-0 @ 5.83%
3-1 @ 3.31%
3-0 @ 2.45%
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.74%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.34%
2-2 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.92%
1-2 @ 8.45%
0-2 @ 6.7%
1-3 @ 3.8%
0-3 @ 3.02%
2-3 @ 2.4%
1-4 @ 1.29%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 38.97%


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