Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Dinamo Brest had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Dinamo Brest win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.