SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 20.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.35%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Dnepr Mogilev win it was 1-0 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Isloch would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dnepr Mogilev | Draw | Isloch |
20.46% ( 0.19) | 23.8% ( 0.15) | 55.74% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 49.97% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.58% ( -0.36) | 50.42% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.65% ( -0.32) | 72.35% ( 0.32) |
| Dnepr Mogilev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.89% ( -0) | 39.11% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.17% ( -0) | 75.83% ( 0) |
| Isloch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.06% ( -0.25) | 17.94% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.24% ( -0.44) | 48.75% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dnepr Mogilev | Draw | Isloch |
| 1-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0)3-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.42% Total : 20.46% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.91% Total : 23.79% | 0-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 10.35% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 9.72% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.93% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 5.57% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.39% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.42% Total : 55.73% |
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