SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnepr Mogilev win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnepr Mogilev win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Naftan win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dnepr Mogilev | Draw | Naftan |
43.35% ( 0.26) | 25.94% ( -0.13) | 30.71% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.98% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.86% ( 0.48) | 51.14% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.01% ( 0.42) | 72.99% ( -0.41) |
| Dnepr Mogilev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.54% ( 0.33) | 23.46% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.53% ( 0.48) | 57.47% ( -0.48) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.22% ( 0.15) | 30.78% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.95% ( 0.18) | 67.05% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dnepr Mogilev | Draw | Naftan |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.98% Total : 43.35% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 30.71% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
