Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belshina win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Energetik-BGU had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belshina win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Energetik-BGU win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belshina would win this match.