Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Energetik-BGU win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Vitebsk had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Energetik-BGU win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Vitebsk win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.