Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slutsk win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Gorodeya had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slutsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Gorodeya win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.