Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Mozyr win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Gorodeya had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Mozyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Gorodeya win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.