Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 79.41%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 6.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.24%) and 1-0 (12.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (2.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.