Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Brest win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 17.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.16%) and 1-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Smorgon win it was 1-0 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
