Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Smolevichi had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Smolevichi win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.