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Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 11
May 29, 2020 at 4pm UK
Torpedo Stadium

Torpedo-BelAZ
2 - 1
Smolevichi

Ramos (34'), Zhevnerov (67' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Makarov (15')
Mukhamedov (25'), Gomelko (82'), Alibekov (85'), Zhevnerov (89'), Turik (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Smolevichi had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Smolevichi win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.

Result
Torpedo-BelAZDrawSmolevichi
38.79%27.28%33.93%
Both teams to score 49.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.34%55.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.19%76.81%
Torpedo-BelAZ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.08%27.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.46%63.54%
Smolevichi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.11%30.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.82%67.18%
Score Analysis
    Torpedo-BelAZ 38.78%
    Smolevichi 33.93%
    Draw 27.28%
Torpedo-BelAZDrawSmolevichi
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 8.25%
2-0 @ 7.02%
3-1 @ 3.51%
3-0 @ 2.99%
3-2 @ 2.06%
4-1 @ 1.12%
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 38.78%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 8.63%
2-2 @ 4.84%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 10.13%
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-2 @ 5.95%
1-3 @ 2.97%
0-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 33.93%


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