Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Slavia Mozyr had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest Slavia Mozyr win was 0-1 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.