Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 67.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sputnik had a probability of 13.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.72%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Sputnik win it was 1-0 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.