Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
