Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 47.01%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
