Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 61.35%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 18.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.5%) and 0-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Cercle Brugge win it was 2-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.