Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 16.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Cercle Brugge win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.