Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eupen win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eupen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Beerschot Wilrijk win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eupen would win this match.