Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 19.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 0-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Beerschot Wilrijk win it was 2-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
