Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eupen win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eupen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Royal Excel Mouscron win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.