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Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 19
Dec 27, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne

Mechelen
2 - 1
Mouscron

Mrabti (38'), Shved (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mohamed (69' pen.)
Agouzoul (40')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Mechelen and Royal Excel Mouscron.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 51.84%. A win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Royal Excel Mouscron win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mechelen in this match.

Result
MechelenDrawRoyal Excel Mouscron
51.84%23.11%25.05%
Both teams to score 58.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.49%42.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.09%64.91%
Mechelen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.54%16.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.85%46.15%
Royal Excel Mouscron Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.49%30.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.27%66.73%
Score Analysis
    Mechelen 51.84%
    Royal Excel Mouscron 25.05%
    Draw 23.1%
MechelenDrawRoyal Excel Mouscron
2-1 @ 9.7%
1-0 @ 9.06%
2-0 @ 8.18%
3-1 @ 5.84%
3-0 @ 4.92%
3-2 @ 3.46%
4-1 @ 2.63%
4-0 @ 2.22%
4-2 @ 1.56%
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 51.84%
1-1 @ 10.75%
2-2 @ 5.76%
0-0 @ 5.02%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.1%
1-2 @ 6.38%
0-1 @ 5.96%
0-2 @ 3.54%
1-3 @ 2.53%
2-3 @ 2.28%
0-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 25.05%

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