Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eupen win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eupen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.