Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 53.16%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 23.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.