Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Leuven win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
