Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 54.38%. A win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 23.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Royal Antwerp win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
