Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 65.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 15.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Cercle Brugge win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gent in this match.