Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 49.95%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 25.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.