SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Eupen | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Gent | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 17 | Standard Liege | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sint-Truiden | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Westerlo | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Charleroi | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Westerlo |
48.41% ( 0.15) | 24.66% ( -0.04) | 26.92% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 54.63% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.15% ( 0.07) | 47.85% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.97% ( 0.07) | 70.03% ( -0.07) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.19% ( 0.09) | 19.81% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.11% ( 0.15) | 51.89% ( -0.15) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.13% ( -0.05) | 31.87% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.69% ( -0.05) | 68.31% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gent | Draw | Westerlo |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 48.41% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 26.92% |
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