SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Union SG | 39 | 52 | 84 |
| 3 | Gent | 40 | 30 | 74 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 39 | 37 | 71 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Genk | 40 | 21 | 62 |
| 7 | Charleroi | 40 | 7 | 61 |
| 8 | Mechelen | 39 | -3 | 56 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 69.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 12.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Charleroi win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Charleroi |
69.1% ( -1.26) | 18.64% ( 0.61) | 12.26% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 48.36% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.82% ( -1.12) | 43.17% ( 1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.42% ( -1.12) | 65.57% ( 1.11) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.61% ( -0.64) | 11.38% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.88% ( -1.41) | 36.11% ( 1.41) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.56% ( 0.37) | 45.43% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.72% ( 0.29) | 81.27% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gent | Draw | Charleroi |
| 2-0 @ 12.21% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.26)2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.27)4-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.18)5-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.61% Total : 69.09% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.3) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.81% Total : 18.64% | 0-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.15% Total : 12.26% |
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