Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kortrijk win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kortrijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Royal Excel Mouscron win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kortrijk would win this match.