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Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 5
Sep 13, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Guldensporenstadion

Kortrijk
3 - 0
Mouscron

Mboyo (59'), Dewaele (63'), Ocansey (83')
Ocansey (50'), Mboyo (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hocko (67')
Onana (32'), Hocko (85')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Kortrijk and Royal Excel Mouscron.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kortrijk win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kortrijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Royal Excel Mouscron win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kortrijk would win this match.

Result
KortrijkDrawRoyal Excel Mouscron
42.4%26.68%30.92%
Both teams to score 50.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.97%54.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.54%75.47%
Kortrijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79%25.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.05%59.95%
Royal Excel Mouscron Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.88%32.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.41%68.6%
Score Analysis
    Kortrijk 42.39%
    Royal Excel Mouscron 30.92%
    Draw 26.68%
KortrijkDrawRoyal Excel Mouscron
1-0 @ 11.15%
2-1 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 7.69%
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-0 @ 3.53%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 42.39%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 8.1%
2-2 @ 4.96%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 9.2%
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-2 @ 5.22%
1-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 30.92%


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