Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for KV Oostende had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest KV Oostende win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.