Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Anderlecht in this match.