Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Waasland-Beveren had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Waasland-Beveren win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint-Truiden would win this match.
