Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 57.81%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 21.15% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.39%) and 0-1 (8.15%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Genk in this match.
