Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
