SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Anderlecht |
| 47.85% | 23.78% | 28.36% |
| Both teams to score 58.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.04% | 42.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.64% | 65.36% |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.88% | 18.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.92% | 49.07% |
| Anderlecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% | 28.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.01% | 63.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Anderlecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% 1-0 @ 8.75% 2-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 5.38% 3-0 @ 4.26% 3-2 @ 3.4% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.6% Total : 47.85% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-1 @ 6.47% 0-2 @ 4.09% 1-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 1.72% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.72% Total : 28.36% |
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