Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waasland-Beveren win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Waasland-Beveren win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Royal Excel Mouscron win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Waasland-Beveren would win this match.
