Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KV Oostende win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a KV Oostende win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KV Oostende would win this match.
