Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.