Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Ceara win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.