Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.