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Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
AM

Botafogo
2 - 1
Atletico Mineiro

Fernando (27'), Alexandre (88')
Barrandeguy (76'), Barcelos (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rabello (90+7')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Atletico Mineiro.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
BotafogoDrawAtletico Mineiro
31.61%27.25%41.13%
Both teams to score 49.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.96%56.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.88%77.12%
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.34%32.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.79%69.21%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.2%26.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.91%62.09%
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 31.61%
    Atletico Mineiro 41.13%
    Draw 27.25%
BotafogoDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 9.79%
2-1 @ 7.22%
2-0 @ 5.48%
3-1 @ 2.69%
3-0 @ 2.04%
3-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 31.61%
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 8.75%
2-2 @ 4.75%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 11.52%
1-2 @ 8.49%
0-2 @ 7.59%
1-3 @ 3.73%
0-3 @ 3.33%
2-3 @ 2.09%
1-4 @ 1.23%
0-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 41.13%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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