Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 46.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 26.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.