Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 76.45%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 7.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.76%) and 3-0 (11.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.