Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 46.35%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 25.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.