Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Goias had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Goias win it was 1-0 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.