SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 56.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 18.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Fluminense |
| 56.07% | 25.26% | 18.67% |
| Both teams to score 43.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.06% | 57.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.36% | 78.64% |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% | 20.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.7% | 53.3% |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.51% | 45.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.68% | 81.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Palmeiras | Draw | Fluminense |
| 1-0 @ 14.82% 2-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 9.2% 3-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 4.83% 4-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.18% Total : 56.05% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 9.42% 2-2 @ 3.62% Other @ 0.54% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 7.42% 1-2 @ 4.6% 0-2 @ 2.92% 1-3 @ 1.21% 2-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.57% Total : 18.67% |
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