Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Santos had a probability of 21.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.