Vasco
2 - 0
Sport

Bastos (9', 32')
Pec (5'), Andrey (70')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Farias (29'), Marquinhos (68'), Hernane (79')
Henrique Silva (90+8')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Sport Recife.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 46.92%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 24.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.

Result
Vasco da Gama	Draw	Sport Recife
46.92%	28.73%	24.35%

Both teams to score 41.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.8%

64.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.67%

83.33%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.4%

27.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.87%

63.14%

Sport Recife Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.87%

43.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.6%

79.4%

Score Analysis

Vasco da Gama 46.91%

Sport Recife 24.35%

Draw 28.72%

Vasco da Gama	Draw	Sport Recife
1-0 @ 15.32% 2-0 @ 9.86% 2-1 @ 8.3% 3-0 @ 4.23% 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.64% Total : 46.91%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 11.9% 2-2 @ 3.49% Other @ 0.45% Total : 28.72%	0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 5.42% 0-2 @ 4.21% 1-3 @ 1.52% 0-3 @ 1.18% 2-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.04% Total : 24.35%