Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Jul 7, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Governador Roberto Santos
We said: Vitoria 0-1 Criciuma
Criciuma have dominated recent encounters between the two sides, winning the last two in a three-match winning run. We expect Vitoria to put up a good fight, but we think the away side will nick this one again.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 49.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 25.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria would win this match.
| Result |
| Vitoria | Draw | Criciuma |
49.05% ( 0.01) | 25.9% ( -0) | 25.05% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.2% ( -0.01) |
| 45.82% ( -0) | 54.18% |
| 24.41% ( -0) | 75.59% ( 0) |
| 77.88% ( 0) | 22.11% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.52% ( 0) | 55.48% ( -0.01) |
| 63.17% ( -0.01) | 36.83% ( 0.01) |
