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CAF Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Jun 26, 2021 at 8pm UK
 

Al Ahly
3 - 0
ES Tunis

Maaloul (38' pen.), Sherif (56'), El Shahat (60')
Mohamed (15')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Chetti (36')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Esperance Tunis had a probability of 20.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Esperance Tunis win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Ahly would win this match.

Result
Al AhlyDrawEsperance Tunis
57.23%22.57%20.21%
Both teams to score 53.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.38%45.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.05%67.95%
Al Ahly Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.3%15.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.24%44.76%
Esperance Tunis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.37%36.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.58%73.42%
Score Analysis
    Al Ahly 57.22%
    Esperance Tunis 20.21%
    Draw 22.57%
Al AhlyDrawEsperance Tunis
1-0 @ 10.64%
2-1 @ 9.9%
2-0 @ 9.86%
3-1 @ 6.11%
3-0 @ 6.08%
3-2 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 2.83%
4-0 @ 2.82%
4-2 @ 1.42%
5-1 @ 1.05%
5-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 57.22%
1-1 @ 10.69%
0-0 @ 5.75%
2-2 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.57%
0-1 @ 5.77%
1-2 @ 5.37%
0-2 @ 2.9%
1-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 20.21%

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